What SHTF scenarios do you anticipate?

**mbarnatl** · 02-26-2008, 09:12 PM

I have a family disaster plan similar to Rick's. Each family member has a copy of it. It is updated on a regular basis. We rate the most likely scenario as well. This last summer drought, forest fires and heat related issues topped our list. This summer I am forecasting that drought, gas shortages, water shortages, forest fires and power outages to be at the top of our list. I have to consider these when we go on weekend hikes also.

I prepare more for natural disasters then I would for man made. I guess because I have been in/or evacuated from several hurricanes, tornado's, ice storms, snow storms, blackouts, floods and forest fires. I mainly prepare for wilderness survival because I am always hiking or geocaching.

**Rick** · 02-26-2008, 09:13 PM

Survivordude - I don't actively plan for all the events but they are part of the ranking I do to determine 1. Which skills sets I have to survive those events and 2. Which events my home is likely to survive. I then rank each event to determine which one is most likely to happen and invest my resources starting with the most likely. I doubt I'll ever have to worry about a tsunami where I live but if I don't have the skills and I'm on the beach and the water leaves...well.....I don't live downstream from a dam either but I could be visiting someplace that is.

**mbarnatl** · 02-26-2008, 09:16 PM

@Rick: how many times do you update your list a year? I update mine every two months.

list= plan.

**Rick** · 02-26-2008, 09:21 PM

We review it once a quarter. I update only when something changes that warrants an update. For example, two family cell phone numbers recently changed and the document had to be updated to reflect those changes.

**coldkill13** · 02-26-2008, 09:26 PM

Originally Posted by Sam

You short on ammo, that is the only reason I can see for going to prison. I don't break the law so I don't fear police. If they come for me it's gonna be a long day all round.

WOW! I have been waiting fo someone to sum that up in such a clear, concise statement! Mind if I borrow that for when the topic of "Gun control" comes up around my house?

**Rick** · 02-26-2008, 09:28 PM

mbarnatl - Do you do practice drills or walk throughs? We try to do respond to a couple of "threats" each year to flex our plan and see what works and doesn't work. We also test our communication plan to ensure it will work if it's ever needed. We do adjust our plan based on any shortcomings we find in the test.

**coldkill13** · 02-26-2008, 09:31 PM

Originally Posted by crashdive123

Global Warming? Might want to re-think that.

Good to know theres someone else out there who doesn't believe every word some crazy ex-presidential candidate says!

**mbarnatl** · 02-26-2008, 09:59 PM

Originally Posted by Rick

mbarnatl - Do you do practice drills or walk through? We try to do respond to a couple of "threats" each year to flex our plan and see what works and doesn't work. We also test our communication plan to ensure it will work if it's ever needed. We do adjust our plan based on any shortcomings we find in the test.

Yes we do. I have had to go through several real threats and it amazes me how well everything falls into place. You can practice, but til you actually have to go through one do you really see what you need to do the next time. I think the one that made me think the most is when we had to evacuate because of a forest fire.

**mbarnatl** · 02-26-2008, 10:02 PM

@Rick: How is your communication plan setup.

**Rick** · 02-26-2008, 10:09 PM

We have identified a local communication coordinator within the family. They are responsible for acquiring and maintaining all contact information including school, work, cells, etc. If an event happens then the coordinator will begin contacting and documenting the location of each family member. If they are unable to contact any member within two hours after onset then the coordinator declares a communication emergency. We have an out of state coordinator identified and if an emergency is declared then the out of state contact becomes the overall coordinator for the family.

One of the lessons learned from Katrina is that local communications (landline and cell) were not operable but toll was not impacted. While folks could not call locally, they could call long distance. So we have an out of state contact if we have to rely on them.

**mbarnatl** · 02-26-2008, 10:21 PM

We had the same thing happen when I lived in Fla. during Andrew, but the toll was affected. How we contacted people out of state was with a neighbor's shortwave radio.

**Sam** · 02-26-2008, 11:50 PM

Originally Posted by hopeak

Angry, disenchanted, anarchist, murders, killers, robbers.............Your standard issue malcontent who will prevail in the end. I will be a measly speed bump. A Minor point of resistance. But they will survive and they will thrive.

Take comfort in the fact there won't be as many of them after they come to visit you.

**Sam** · 02-26-2008, 11:54 PM

Originally Posted by Rick

Well crap!! I just bought a ton of Bermuda shorts. You think I take them back for a refund?

Just wear a pair into the store. Then offer to model the shorts EVERYDAY for them. They may even pay you to take them off your hands

**Sam** · 02-26-2008, 11:57 PM

Originally Posted by coldkill13

WOW! I have been waiting fo someone to sum that up in such a clear, concise statement! Mind if I borrow that for when the topic of "Gun control" comes up around my house?

No problem, help your self.
And remember preparedness is the difference between can of food and cannibalisim.

**bulrush** · 02-27-2008, 09:54 AM

You should always be afraid if someone says "Trust me, I'm from the government."

**GorgeHiker** · 03-03-2008, 11:52 PM

I'm surprised no one mentioned zombie attack yet.

**canid** · 03-03-2008, 11:53 PM

i get the collective rolling of eyes when i mention the zombocalypse.

**Sam Reeves** · 06-15-2008, 11:49 AM

After this years floods an epidemic of these would cause alot of problems.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Locust

How tp prepare? Lots of cheap PVC pipe to frame greenhouses with.