View Full Version : Shortages
We've all seen how crazy the gun and ammo market has gotten lately and the older members here can remember gas lines in the 1970s. I am curious what other goods could be subject to very abrupt panic buying or shortages, absent some other problem. We've all seen grocery stores get a run prior to a storm, but I am thinking of things that are subject to shortages just from panic, without a storm or disaster involved, like fuel in the 1970s or ammo now.
My thought is this may highlight some things that should be in our preps that some of us may have overlooked.
Any suggestions?
GreatUsername
01-21-2013, 05:58 AM
One word: Everything. If it's a good, and you can't get an infinite supply of it yourself, there will be shortages. Shortages will vary in severity from crisis to crisis and supply to supply, but you can pretty much bet that if there is suddenly a huge spike in need or demand for a commodity, it will suddenly become hard to obtain, and much more valuable if you already have it. It's basic economics.
crashdive123
01-21-2013, 07:09 AM
Everything might be pretty close. Food, water, fuel, and then just about everything else. Here is a link to a list that has been posted before. While I don't agree with everything on the list, it does give you something to think about. http://www.thepowerhour.com/news/items_disappearfirst.htm
Unfortunately, "everything" doesn't really help fill in the missing items on the normal prep list. What I am wondering is what products are subject to something like we have just seen with ammo. For instance, are certain medical supplies subject to disruption because of some panic without anything actually having happened? I don't sew, but could clothing become a problem follwed quickly by sewing supplies, sort of like ammo followed by reloading supplies?
Wildthang
01-21-2013, 11:55 AM
Well if we keep getting droughts here in the US, sooner or late somebody in the press media will start reporting potential food shortages, it is bound to happen, not if but when!
So when that happens, any and all food will begin leaving the shelves and the staples will be the first to go. A lot of people can grow food, and have gardens and fruit trees.........like me for instance. But without salt, sugar, flour, corn meal, rice, beans, spices, cooking oil, powdered milk, baking soda, beef broth, chicken broth etc, how long are we going to be able to prepare normal foods? So it is therefore my humble opinion that those things are going to be woirth more than gold if the food shortage strikes.
Even the people with self sustaining homesteads will need the staples. So there you go, that's what I think and that is a large part of what I stock! That is not the entire list but the most important
crashdive123
01-21-2013, 12:17 PM
Unfortunately, "everything" doesn't really help fill in the missing items on the normal prep list. What I am wondering is what products are subject to something like we have just seen with ammo. For instance, are certain medical supplies subject to disruption because of some panic without anything actually having happened? I don't sew, but could clothing become a problem follwed quickly by sewing supplies, sort of like ammo followed by reloading supplies?
Did you look at the link?
BENESSE
01-21-2013, 12:24 PM
I have that list printed and handy at all times.
Wildthang
01-21-2013, 12:47 PM
I have that list printed and handy at all times.
I have read that list many times, and have always wondered why they left off women!
BENESSE
01-21-2013, 12:55 PM
I have read that list many times, and have always wondered why they left off women!
Obviously you were smart enough to remember--two is one, one is none. Now the girls are gonna have a problem as far as you're concerned. 'Cause you're a none. :sneaky2:
Wildthang
01-21-2013, 01:10 PM
Obviously you were smart enough to remember--two is one, one is none. Now the girls are gonna have a problem as far as you're concerned. 'Cause you're a none. :sneaky2:
Okay I'm hurt, so are you happy now:smartass:
BENESSE
01-21-2013, 01:11 PM
Okay I'm hurt, so are you happy now:smartass:
What's good for the goose...
you silly goose.
Wildthang
01-21-2013, 01:13 PM
What's good for the goose...
you silly goose.
I'm not talking to you anymore:smartass:
Sourdough
01-21-2013, 01:27 PM
Okay I'm hurt, so are you happy now:smartass:
Willing volunteer, should you need help.
BENESSE
01-21-2013, 01:27 PM
I'm not talking to you anymore:smartass:
Now, hong on there pardner...I could be wrong. (highly unlikely)
Why don't you run it by the girls and see what they think.
hunter63
01-21-2013, 01:29 PM
Gooses, Gooses? There is gonna be a shortage of Gooses?......
Wildthang
01-21-2013, 01:32 PM
Now, hong on there pardner...I could be wrong. (highly unlikely)
Why don't you run it by the girls and see what they think.
No you have made your thoughts apparent............wait, I'm not talking to you anymore remember!:smartass:
Wildthang
01-21-2013, 01:34 PM
Willing volunteer, should you need help.
Well Sourdough, so far I have been able to take care of them all by myself, but if I ever need help, you will be the first I call ole buddy!
Wildthang
01-21-2013, 01:42 PM
The girls told me to tell Nessie that her theory only applies to generators and flashlights:smartass:
BENESSE
01-21-2013, 01:57 PM
The girls told me to tell Nessie that her theory only applies to generators and flashlights:smartass:
You sure got 'em brainwashed 'ol boy.
I'd hate to be there when the come to...'cause we both know this ride's not gonna go around but so many times.
On the other hand, enjoy it while it lasts. You've got my blessing.
Have we made up now? :balloon:
Wildthang
01-21-2013, 02:23 PM
You sure got 'em brainwashed 'ol boy.
I'd hate to be there when the come to...'cause we both know this ride's not gonna go around but so many times.
On the other hand, enjoy it while it lasts. You've got my blessing.
Have we made up now? :balloon:
I still love you Nessie!:balloon:
cwi555
01-21-2013, 05:51 PM
Unfortunately, "everything" doesn't really help fill in the missing items on the normal prep list. What I am wondering is what products are subject to something like we have just seen with ammo. For instance, are certain medical supplies subject to disruption because of some panic without anything actually having happened? I don't sew, but could clothing become a problem follwed quickly by sewing supplies, sort of like ammo followed by reloading supplies?
The answer "everything" is pretty much correct. CD's link and the list in it is fairly accurate. I disagree with it's ranking but the items listed are a fair representation of what goes first (several of those items go along with each other at the same time).
What the initiating event is plays a large role in what goes first. If the power doesn't go out immediately, generators are not thought of by most. If the water doesn't go out immediately, toilets and purifiers do not make the top of the list.
As for shortages due to some unknown disruption, they have occurred for some rather stupid reasons.
http://blogs.wsj.com/source/2011/12/19/norway-embarrassed-by-butter-shortage/
At the height of the Norwegian butter shortage brought about by excessive tariffs and over reaching government controls on internal production, a can of red feather butter was trading within Norway for 20x it's normal price via internet auction sites, much the same way ammo is trading here now.
Another example that is currently in play:
http://venezuelanalysis.com/news/7632
"Over the last month, some basic foods such as margarine, corn flour, rice, sugar, and chicken have been hard to find in many parts of Venezuela. A report from Venezuela’s Central Bank for the month of December showed high levels of scarcity for 6 of the 33 basic goods that are measured, and moderate levels of scarcity for 9 others."
There is no reason for this other than the government there screwing the pooch 'again'. That kind of crap along with corrupt bankers/politicians started the downfall in 94/95 when they went from 125:1 to 525:1 exchange rate overnight. If they keep it up, they are about to bite that same bullet again as the shortages will be made irrelevant when the government hoses it's people 'again'. I was on the ground for that one. Ugly is not the word for it when the population woke up one day to find out ~4/5ths of their wealth had just been wiped out overnight.
Many times there is simply no rhyme nor reason to what becomes a shortage. Every product is subject to real or perceived shortages.
Wildthang
01-21-2013, 06:22 PM
I was in Venezuela in 96, and the stores were weird the way they stocked the shelves. If they ran out of something on the shelf, they would fill it with whatever they had. I remember seeing an entire 60 foot long shelf filled with Pepsi 12 packs! I was there when the B went south at 59 % of it's previous worth!
But oh did I like the women there!
cwi555
01-21-2013, 06:30 PM
I was in Venezuela in 96, and the stores were weird the way they stocked the shelves. If they ran out of something on the shelf, they would fill it with whatever they had. I remember seeing an entire 60 foot long shelf filled with Pepsi 12 packs! I was there when the B went south at 59 % of it's previous worth!
But oh did I like the women there!
Yes, the women were indeed a different breed of beautiful.
The stores were not that way in early 94. That was mandated by the government in late 95 due to the bad press they were getting over the food riots, and mass civil unrest after the late 94 devaluation and subsequent temporary loss of control in parts of the country, particularly Punto fijo, and the outlying areas of Maracaibo. Their logic for stocking shelves with crap like that is they could make the store look full when it actually didn't have crap in it of substance.
Did you look at the link?
Yes, but it looks like a general list of prep items not a list of things subject to panic shortages. Useful link though.
Yes, the women were indeed a different breed of beautiful.
The stores were not that way in early 94. That was mandated by the government in late 95 due to the bad press they were getting over the food riots, and mass civil unrest after the late 94 devaluation and subsequent temporary loss of control in parts of the country, particularly Punto fijo, and the outlying areas of Maracaibo. Their logic for stocking shelves with crap like that is they could make the store look full when it actually didn't have crap in it of substance.
My wife is from Colombia and her entire family assures me that the Venezuelan women are a close second to the Colombian women. :-)
cwi, those shortage stories are interesting. It sort of indicates that the prospect of panic shortages are any product the government may take an interest in screwing up. That certainly applies to the current situation with guns and ammo.
crashdive123
01-21-2013, 08:57 PM
Yes, but it looks like a general list of prep items not a list of things subject to panic shortages. Useful link though.
Think about what you just wrote. Don't you think prep items would be subject to panic buying?
cwi555
01-21-2013, 09:14 PM
My wife is from Colombia and her entire family assures me that the Venezuelan women are a close second to the Colombian women. :-)
cwi, those shortage stories are interesting. It sort of indicates that the prospect of panic shortages are any product the government may take an interest in screwing up. That certainly applies to the current situation with guns and ammo.
My wife is from the P.I. I am partial to that particular breed of beauty.
As I said earlier, there is no rhyme nor reason to how panic unfolds. Panic by definition precludes any logical train of thought.
Sourdough
01-21-2013, 09:36 PM
Yes, but it looks like a general list of prep items not a list of things subject to panic shortages.
Also Remember IF it in your home, you don't really own/control it. Which is why I have been accelerating my caching program. I am essentially PRE-Looting my own goods.
cwi555
01-21-2013, 09:39 PM
Pre-looting.... I'll have to remember that one.
hunter63
01-21-2013, 09:40 PM
Deploy your assets.........
Think about what you just wrote. Don't you think prep items would be subject to panic buying?
I think there would be an overlap, but I am thinking here of panic buying without a disaster or some other event. For instance, each time we get a hurricane there is a run on generators, but the storm is the cause and the panic buying is the effect. I am looking for panic buying that doesn't have something like a hurricane as a trigger, where the panic buyng is the initial event.
Now one could say the Newtown event was the cause of the panic, but we have had mass shootings before without anything so drastic occurring. I am looking for products where a panic could be set off during what would be otherwise normal circumstances.
Also Remember IF it in your home, you don't really own/control it. Which is why I have been accelerating my caching program. I am essentially PRE-Looting my own goods.
Good point. Having spent time in Russia, I can assure you our sense of private property will not survive in the absence of ROL.
crashdive123
01-22-2013, 07:17 AM
I think there would be an overlap, but I am thinking here of panic buying without a disaster or some other event. For instance, each time we get a hurricane there is a run on generators, but the storm is the cause and the panic buying is the effect. I am looking for panic buying that doesn't have something like a hurricane as a trigger, where the panic buyng is the initial event.
Now one could say the Newtown event was the cause of the panic, but we have had mass shootings before without anything so drastic occurring. I am looking for products where a panic could be set off during what would be otherwise normal circumstances.
Gotcha. For the current "panic" Newtown was not the event that triggered the buying, but rather the event that put the plans by some that had been waiting for the right moment (post election and public tragedy) to push their anti-gun agenda. The panic is being caused out of the fear that those that are trying to take away our rights might be successful to some extent.
More to the point that I think you were making - there is not always a singular incident that will send people into a frenzy. Sometimes it is the culmination of a lot of events that finally push some over the edge.
More often though, I believe that many share the same concerns (pick a concern) and act accordingly. Then, when things start getting scarce the news of shortages fuels the desire to acquire items whether they are needed or not.
Wildthang
01-22-2013, 09:14 AM
Yes, the women were indeed a different breed of beautiful.
The stores were not that way in early 94. That was mandated by the government in late 95 due to the bad press they were getting over the food riots, and mass civil unrest after the late 94 devaluation and subsequent temporary loss of control in parts of the country, particularly Punto fijo, and the outlying areas of Maracaibo. Their logic for stocking shelves with crap like that is they could make the store look full when it actually didn't have crap in it of substance.
Now that is weird, I lived in near Punto Fijo in the villiage of Hudibana Estado Falcon. I worked at the Lagovan Refinery! This is a very small world!
cwi555
01-22-2013, 09:57 PM
Now that is weird, I lived in near Punto Fijo in the villiage of Hudibana Estado Falcon. I worked at the Lagovan Refinery! This is a very small world!
Yep, it is a small world. I worked the Cardn refinery primarily except for a short stint in the Amuay refinery North of punto Fijo. Stayed in Judibana Municipio Los Taques myself, desert side (east). If you were there in 96, maybe you can answer a question for me. Did they ever rebuild supermercado cada after the rioters burned it down?
Wildthang
01-23-2013, 06:14 AM
Yep, it is a small world. I worked the Cardn refinery primarily except for a short stint in the Amuay refinery North of punto Fijo. Stayed in Judibana Municipio Los Taques myself, desert side (east). If you were there in 96, maybe you can answer a question for me. Did they ever rebuild supermercado cada after the rioters burned it down?
If you are speaking of the one in Punto Fijo, apparently they did, because thet is where I bought grocerys on occasion. Most of the time I sent the maid out for grocerys but sometimes I would take her and help her shop!
Wildthang
01-23-2013, 08:52 AM
Yep, it is a small world. I worked the Cardn refinery primarily except for a short stint in the Amuay refinery North of punto Fijo. Stayed in Judibana Municipio Los Taques myself, desert side (east). If you were there in 96, maybe you can answer a question for me. Did they ever rebuild supermercado cada after the rioters burned it down?
Amuay was the Lagoven refinery and that is where I worked as well! Did you ever go to La Concha?
tacmedic
02-18-2013, 09:49 PM
Someone had mentioned medication shortages somewhere in this thread, that is a real possibility. At the hospital for about the last year we have had a constantly changing list of medications that are in very short supply or we are currently not able to get. We have had to change several treatment protocols at least twice due to the lack of one medicine or another. Interestingly enough (now keep in mind that I typically don't subscribe to conspiracy theories) several months ago, for a while, the meds that were in short supply were pretty much everything that would be needed to treat nerve gas exposure. . . . .
hunter63
02-19-2013, 12:31 PM
So what does the nerve gas treatment meds consist of?
kyratshooter
02-19-2013, 01:09 PM
There was always a rumor that the epipens issued in the military, for use in nerve gas attack, had a fatal dose of drugs within.
The theory was that they would rather have soldiers die in place in their foxholes than running about on the battle field inducing panic.
As far as the shortages go, My only concern in the afore mentioned meds that are denied me in bulk. Everything else is in good supply at home and still available on the shelves.
I am heading to Kroger at the moment, I am out of chocolate pudding.
Anyone need anything?
Wildthang
02-19-2013, 01:23 PM
There was always a rumor that the epipens issued in the military, for use in nerve gas attack, had a fatal dose of drugs within.
The theory was that they would rather have soldiers die in place in their foxholes than running about on the battle field inducing panic.
As far as the shortages go, My only concern in the afore mentioned meds that are denied me in bulk. Everything else is in good supply at home and still available on the shelves.
I am heading to Kroger at the moment, I am out of chocolate pudding.
Anyone need anything?
Yeah bring me an ice cream cone...........chocolate swirl!
tacmedic
02-19-2013, 03:08 PM
So what does the nerve gas treatment meds consist of?
Basically atropine and Pralidoxime.
kyratshooter
02-19-2013, 03:16 PM
Yeah bring me an ice cream cone...........chocolate swirl!
I got it but you didn't show up!!
It started to melt so I ate it!
No waste, no want!
Wildthang
02-19-2013, 03:49 PM
I got it but you didn't show up!!
It started to melt so I ate it!
No waste, no want!
I hate you:smartass:
Wildthang
02-19-2013, 03:50 PM
Well like I said before, wait until there is rumor of a food shortage. The ammo shortage will pale in comparison!
kyratshooter
02-19-2013, 05:01 PM
Well like I said before, wait until there is rumor of a food shortage. The ammo shortage will pale in comparison!
I bought your share of the ammo too WT!
This last panic was the first time in my life I was ever in the right place at the right time with the right amount of money.
I bought the last gun on the wish list 2 weeks before the rush and had an ammo dilevery the day the panic trigger happened.
loner
02-19-2013, 06:21 PM
my opion for whats its worth the boy scott motto be prepaired . i think of the worest and prepair for it ie medical supplys everything i can get my hands on like a three month supply of everything cos if the worest happend its all worth money and most of the prep stuff lasts almost forever
birdman6660
02-19-2013, 11:52 PM
never saw the LIST before but I seem to have most of it covered ... wooo hooooo !!!
birdman6660
02-20-2013, 12:07 AM
managed to find several bricks of 22cal ammo .. went on waiting list of about a week .. so i ordered 20,000 rounds ... it seems to be in greater demand these days as more preppers realize they might actuall need it .. got a brick of 32 cal for my Winchester as well .. its not short so ill buy as much as pocket will allow weekly !
Wildthang
02-20-2013, 06:56 AM
I bought your share of the ammo too WT!
This last panic was the first time in my life I was ever in the right place at the right time with the right amount of money.
I bought the last gun on the wish list 2 weeks before the rush and had an ammo dilevery the day the panic trigger happened.
Yeah I have all the guns I could ever really need, but I would like just a little more ammo, so I am just going to wait out the hoarding and top it off! You got lucky Bro!
natertot
02-20-2013, 08:40 PM
Good point, Kyrat! Up in Cincinnati, the hospitals and EMS have struggled to keep enough NARCAN available. The amount used goes way over budget............
Remember, kids, don't do drugs. :balloon:
Wildthang
02-21-2013, 10:23 AM
I read on Yahoo news that if the sequester happens, no FDA inspectors will be on the job, and if that happens, no meat will be allowed to go to the stores and there may be no meat available until the sequestor is over. This goes to show how vulnerable food supply's can be, just because our government is disfunctional:angry:
The sequester is being overblown. In the first year it cuts $85 billion out of a multi-trillion dollar budget.
11bgrunt
02-21-2013, 02:37 PM
Good list to have...very informative....
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yellowcab
10-09-2025, 03:02 AM
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yellowcab
12-21-2025, 09:36 PM
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yellowcab
12-21-2025, 09:37 PM
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yellowcab
03-21-2026, 02:09 AM
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Фрол (http://gardeningleave.ru/t/280985)Edga (http://gascautery.ru/t/850678)Thir (http://gashbucket.ru/t/439207)Henr (http://gasreturn.ru/t/850464)Stja (http://gatedsweep.ru/t/559615)Анто (http://gaugemodel.ru/t/857034)Коче (http://gaussianfilter.ru/t/816421)John (http://gearpitchdiameter.ru/t/675761)Anne (http://geartreating.ru/t/664459)Welc (http://generalizedanalysis.ru/t/570158)10-2 (http://generalprovisions.ru/t/559194)Tren (http://geophysicalprobe.ru/t/559864)Labo (http://geriatricnurse.ru/t/139749)Patr (http://getintoaflap.ru/t/139812)серт (http://getthebounce.ru/t/138531)
насе (http://habeascorpus.ru/t/673704)Детс (http://habituate.ru/t/759338)Gree (http://hackedbolt.ru/t/357557)Щерб (http://hackworker.ru/t/678547)Greg (http://hadronicannihilation.ru/t/717719)Маха (http://haemagglutinin.ru/t/674169)Naiv (http://hailsquall.ru/t/144050)Sham (http://hairysphere.ru/t/472620)Salt (http://halforderfringe.ru/t/561507)Pale (http://halfsiblings.ru/t/562495)Pale (http://hallofresidence.ru/t/562619)Cama (http://haltstate.ru/t/473474)окон (http://handcoding.ru/t/660661)LEGO (http://handportedhead.ru/t/852094)Garn (http://handradar.ru/t/561916)
Clin (http://handsfreetelephone.ru/t/138403)Audi (http://hangonpart.ru/t/476421)Memo (http://haphazardwinding.ru/t/557116)Radi (http://hardalloyteeth.ru/t/395604)соци (http://hardasiron.ru/t/508999)Coto (http://hardenedconcrete.ru/t/566764)Nost (http://harmonicinteraction.ru/t/567390)Stre (http://hartlaubgoose.ru/t/141115)Luxo (http://hatchholddown.ru/t/601428)Бусы (http://haveafinetime.ru/t/595542)Side (http://hazardousatmosphere.ru/t/168332)зачи (http://headregulator.ru/t/485888)Stef (http://heartofgold.ru/t/778301)Козл (http://heatageingresistance.ru/t/396326)Фель (http://heatinggas.ru/t/818445)
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John (http://keepagoodoffing.ru/t/654250)кара (http://keepsmthinhand.ru/t/610131)Лэн- (http://kentishglory.ru/t/673347)Wils (http://kerbweight.ru/t/654109)LAPI (http://kerrrotation.ru/t/606268)Мори (http://keymanassurance.ru/t/492728)Папо (http://keyserum.ru/t/678073)Miyo (http://kickplate.ru/t/158099)Zone (http://killthefattedcalf.ru/t/605019)LAPI (http://kilowattsecond.ru/t/606266)Zone (http://kingweakfish.ru/t/609088)наро (http://kinozones.ru/film/10016)Miyo (http://kleinbottle.ru/t/610963)Zone (http://kneejoint.ru/t/605155)diam (http://knifesethouse.ru/t/611989)
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DSY- (http://lambdatransition.ru/t/444956)псих (http://laminatedmaterial.ru/t/384480)Плуж (http://lammasshoot.ru/t/597057)*оли (http://lamphouse.ru/t/757743)Silv (http://lancecorporal.ru/t/470588)Hell (http://lancingdie.ru/t/396106)Менд (http://landingdoor.ru/t/624223)Дроб (http://landmarksensor.ru/t/761583)Цвет (http://landreform.ru/t/761087)Jame (http://landuseratio.ru/t/742749)Дедю (http://languagelaboratory.ru/t/768490)напи (http://largeheart.ru/shop/1163981)ВПЖб (http://lasercalibration.ru/shop/1537731)FLAC (http://laserlens.ru/lase_zakaz/1416)Riga (http://laserpulse.ru/shop/591960)
yellowcab
03-21-2026, 02:10 AM
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05-31-2026, 07:38 AM
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