I was just sitting here pondering on what would happen to prisoners when the SHTF. It's kind of scary to think that they might all finally escape, or be set free due to lack of infrastructure to support the prison system. Luckily I dont live anywhere close to a prison, but a close friend does. and of course if you lived by a prison, it would be even a bigger concern. I have to think that they would probably just blend in with all of the rest of the people that wants to take what's yours, but it seems like prisoners would be even more hostile that average desperate citizens, and much more dangerous.
Do any of you guys live by a large prison, and have you thought about this scenario?
Wesley-Rawles seems to think they will eventually be let out when they can no longer be properly fed, according to "Patriots".
Maybe a month post-fan, could be less, could be more.
The big issues within "The System" are multiple. If the power grid fails, they won't have enough fuel to run their generators for very long.
The guards have a "Force Multiplier" with the camera systems within the jails and prisons. If those fail, you have to add 3-5 more personnel per pod/block/floor.
A lot of the inner gates are electronically controlled from a central guard house. If you can't buzz in and out, things will get dicey.
If there is a water shortage or complete failure, hygiene will be non-existent and disease will spread rapidly within "the walls".
Food...there are one or two, maybe a few prisons that raise their own livestock and do their own gardening. That's a very small minority of incarcerated people, though.
LA county jail probably houses more prisoners on a daily basis than the ones that are somewhat self-supported. I can't see Los Angeles County moving into the countryside so they can provide their own food.
Considering that big county jails like LA County house 19000 inmates on a daily basis, yes 19 THOUSAND inmates, they cannot possibly expect to maintain security without their force multipliers, food, and water.
They only have two options...
Let them out
Leave them locked up to starve/disease them out
Stats on wikipedia (we know how that goes, but it was easily found, how accurate? not sure) state that....
"In 2008 approximately one in every 31 adults (7.3 million) in the United States was behind bars, or being monitored (probation and parole)"
"In addition, there were 86,927 held in juvenile facilities as of the 2007 Census of Juveniles in Residential Placement (CJRP), conducted by the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention." (Different year study, but an idea of number of under 18 behind bars).
Essentially 3% (give or take) of the ADULT population is incarcerated based on the numbers from 2009.
Not only are there that many, but a good portion of them are known to be "gang" affiliated. There are a bunch that are NOT yet "known" to be affiliated, yet probably are. Essentially that means is the bad guys run in packs, in the jails or not, and they don't care about the consequences of going into the penal system to begin with, so think of how they'll feel if they get let OUT and there is NO MORE CHANCE OF BEING LOCKED UP?
In essence, there's gonna be wild and crazy "somewhat normal" folk out there going haywire because it hit the fan, and then we'll have to add in the MZB's from the incarcerated 3% of the population (which does NOT include the under 18 thugs who either haven't been caught yet or dropped off the radar when they turned 18.
How's THAT for warm and fuzzy?